03/10/2024
General election. The discovery of €75,800 in former Prime Minister António Costa's office during a corruption probe in 2023 brought down the center-left government and fueled the hard-right populist party, Chega (Enough), led by André Ventura, which is expected to double its seats. Portugal has shifted right due to economic malaise over stagnated wages and inflation. The center-right Democratic Alliance, led by Luis Montenegro, is expected to win the most votes but fall short of a parliamentary majority, positioning Chega as the kingmaker of the right-wing coalition. With most of the vote counted and the highest turnout in three decades, the center-right Democratic Alliance (AD) — led by the Social Democrats — and the center-left Socialists, led by Nuno Santos, were separated by 2,058 votes, with both hovering near 29 percent. The far-right Chega Party, meanwhile, was overperforming in third with 18 percent, more than doubling its 2022 result. The AD should have about 79 seats in parliament, the Socialists 77, and Chega 48.
The Socialists conceded defeat despite the closeness of the voter, perhaps hoping to the Democratic Alliance to its pledge not to form a coalition with Chega, but rather rule as a minority party with a small party of fiscal conservatives. However, even such an arrangement would give Chega a strong position in parliament.