World Crisis Chronology
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NATO

07/10/2023
Turkey agrees to allow Sweden to join NATO after serious discussions with the US.
07/09/2023
US President Biden says that NATO cannot allow Ukraine to join NATO until the war is resolved.
03/31/2023
Finland joins NATO after the Turkish parliament votes unanimously to affirm their entry, the last NATO country to so approve.
03/15/2023
Poland says it will send fighter jets to Ukraine, the first NATO country to do so.
01/23/2023
Finland calls for a pause in three-way talks with Sweden and Turkey over joining NATO and suggests that Finland should perhaps join NATO even if Sweden is blocked.
11/19/2022
Polish military chief says that Russia is escalating military preparation on border with NATO.
10/11/2022
NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg calls for increased air defense aid to Ukraine.
06/28/2022
After meeting with Finnish President Sauli Niinsto and Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson, Turkey’s President Erdogan drops his opposition to those countries joining NATO. Turkey says that the countries will expel Kurds, but Sweden and Finland say they only agreed to examine the Kurds Turkey has named.
05/29/2022
Turkey continues to balk at admitting Sweden and Finland to NATO, saying it should not admit countries that support terroristic groups.
05/25/2022
Sweden and Finland hold discussions with Turkey over their NATO application.
05/18/2022
Finland and Sweden both formally apply to join NATO.
05/16/2022
Putin says that Sweden and Finland joining NATO are not a concern as long as NATO troops are not stationed in these countries.
05/15/2022
Swedish ruling Social Democratic party drops its opposition to joining NATO. The government is expected to apply in the coming week.
05/14/2022
Turkish government spokesmen say that Turkey has not decided to bar Sweden and Finland from joining NATO, but that those countries support of Kurdish rebels is “unacceptable.”
05/14/2022
Turkish government spokesmen say that Turkey has not decided to bar Sweden and Finland from joining NATO, but that those countries support of Kurdish rebels is “unacceptable.”
05/13/2022
Turkey says it does not support Finland and Sweden joining NATO. New members must be approved unanimously.
05/13/2022
Turkey says it does not support Finland and Sweden joining NATO. New members must be approved unanimously.
05/11/2022
Finnish government announces that it will seek membership in NATO. Russia vows a “corresponding symmetrical responses.”
04/14/2022
As both Sweden and Finland debate applying to NATO in their legislatures, Russian prime minister Medvedev says that if they join the alliance, Russia would move nuclear weapons to the Baltic region.
03/24/2022
Emergency summit meetings of NATO and EU. US and EU reach an agreement in which the US supplies the EU with liquid natural gas to reduce its reliance on Russian gas. The US calls for Russia to be expelled from the G-20 economic forum. The EU and the G-7 group impose new sanctions, on 400 Russians including members of the legislature.
03/24/2022
At emergency meeting, NATO says it will step up troop deployments in countries adjacent to Russia. The US announces new sanctions.
03/21/2022
Zelenskyy says he is open to compromise about NATO membership in exchange for security guarantees. He says he would submit any agreement to a national referendum.
03/08/2022
Confusing sequence of events in which Poland unilaterally announces it will send its MiG fighters to a US base in Germany. US military says there is no airport with a long enough landing strip to accommodate them. Poland had been urged to send its fighters to Ukraine but was reluctant to have its pilots entering airspace over Ukraine.
03/01/2022
Russia intensifies shelling and bombing of Kharkiv, often hitting civilian buildings. Russia warns those living near two military intelligence operations in Kyiv to evacuate the neighborhood. Convoy heading toward Kyiv is now forty miles long, but slowed by logistical problems, UK intelligence reports.
03/01/2022
Lukashenko says Belarus has no plans to join the invasion of Ukraine.
03/01/2022
Turkey invokes a 1936 Montreux Convention, which allows it to limit the passage of warships through the Dardanelles and Bosphorus straits and warns other countries’ warships against requesting permission to enter.
03/01/2022
Russia threatens dangerous consequences for any nation that provides “lethal” weapons to Ukraine.
03/01/2022
The European parliament gives Ukraine candidate status in the EU.
03/01/2022
NATO says that no fighter planes will be transported to Ukraine.
02/28/2022
China issues a statement asserting that it is on the side of peace in regard to Ukraine, in contrast to its early support of Russia. The government has also insisted that Taiwan involves a completely different situation.
02/28/2022
China issues a statement asserting that it is on the side of peace in regard to Ukraine, in contrast to its early support of Russia. The government has also insisted that Taiwan involves a completely different situation.
02/28/2022
Ruble plunges as markets open but recovers somewhat , eventually closing at a hundred to a dollar. The Bank of Russia doubles its interest rate, to 20% to discourage borrowing and many other defensive measures are imposed to protect the economy. The Russian stock market closes for the day. Businesses around the world halt business with Russia.
02/28/2022
In negotiations, Ukraine demands an immediate ceasefire. Although there is no reported progress, the negotiators agree to meet again without specifying when. Russia continues its attacks on major cities in Ukraine. Half a million people are said to have left for other countries, mainly Poland and Romania. Russian military seems to move to a siege posture around large cities, including Kharkiv, Ukraine's second-largest city. A 17-mile-long Russian convey is moving very slowly toward Kyiv.
02/28/2022
Ukraine applies for “immediate” EU membership.
02/28/2022
Switzerland freezes Russian bank accounts, its first break with its traditional neutrality.
02/27/2022
In the midst of the crisis over Ukraine, Kosovo asks the US for a permanent military abase and also requests NATO membership.
02/27/2022
EU announces that it will send materiél to Ukraine, including fighter jets.
02/27/2022
Ukraine files a case against Putin with the International Court of Justice.
02/27/2022
In a snap referendum, Belarus authorizes nuclear weapons to be sited within its borders. The referendum also prohibits prosecution of Lukashenko and makes him a permanent member of the upper house of parliament. Belarussian troops believed to be poised to invade Ukraine.
02/27/2022
Russia offers and Ukraine accepts the offer to negotiate, at a location on the border with Belarus. Many believe it is a ploy to buy time to allow the invasion to be more successful. Russian heavy weapons and troops have not yet reached proximate offensive positions in Ukraine, although there are multiple anecdotes of transports running out of fuel and of Russian soldiers surprised to find they are in an offensive invasion rather that just the protection of the Donbas residents. Some have surrendered. Ukraine president Volodomyr Zelenskyy has remained in Kyiv throughout and has become an international symbol of resistance and heroism.
02/27/2022
With the invasion of Ukraine going badly, Putin puts his defensive nuclear weapons on alert, accusing NATO of threatening moves, which he seems to have invented. There is increasing support to Ukraine by countries in Europe. Germany doubles its military defense budget, breaking decades of traditional reluctance to arm, and authorizes military weapons and other aid to Ukraine. Sweden moves beyond its usual non-aligned position to provide military aid to Ukraine. European nations and many others deny Russia access to their airspace for any flights. Several commercial flights are forced to return to Russia by circuitous routes. China advocates negotiations to end the war. Russia is increasingly isolated in the world, but that also increases fears that Putin, who is not acting in Russia’s best interests, will respond even more aggressively.
02/26/2022
European nations and then the US agree to deny Russia access to the SWIFT banking communication system. The denial will make it very difficult for Russian banks to access deposits in non-Russian banks around the world. It is a serious sanction that will have powerful effects on the Russian economy as well as likely the world economy.
02/25/2022
Advance Russian forces move on Kyiv. Zelenskyy remains in Kyiv.
02/25/2022
Kazakhstan refuses to recognize the eastern Ukraine breakaway regions in the Donbas and also refuses to send troops to support the invasion of Ukraine.
02/25/2022
Chinese President Xi counsels Russian President Putin to halt the fighting and negotiate. Putin says that he is willing to talk with Ukraine as long as it involves Ukraine “demilitarizing and denazifying.”
02/25/2022
A vote to condemn the Russian invasion of Ukraine at the UN Security Council fails, but Russian is the only negative vote. Surprisingly, China abstains from the vote.
02/25/2022
US, UK, and European countries impose sanctions and Valdimir Putin, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and others. It is one of the very rare occasions that a head of state is sanctioned.
02/25/2022
NATO calls up its Rapid Response Force of 40,000, sending them to the eastern NATO countries in the event of any spillover of the war in Ukraine.
02/25/2022
Zelenskyy announces that Russia will try to take Kyiv imminently, but that he and his government are remaining there. Russian forces are reportedly moving more slowly than they planned, and Ukraine reports that 2800 Russian soldiers have died, along with numerous armed transports, jets, and armaments.


02/24/2022
Russia invades Ukraine
Russia invades Ukraine beginning with bombing attacks on then ground force advances from several points around the country. Russia says it has destroyed Ukraine airbases, although there are reports of Russian jets brought down. Ukraine institutes martial law, promises to arm all citizens and breaks diplomatic ties with Russia. Ukraine asks Turkey to close the Bosphorus and Dardenelles straits. World leaders condemn the invasion, but there is nothing that can stop it. The post-World War II international order is ended.
02/24/2022
Western nations impose additional sanctions on Russia and Russians, including secondary sanctions against companies that deal with others that deal with Russia. The aim is to cut Russia off from materials it needs for its weapons.
02/23/2022
Ukraine declares state of emergency and calls up reservists. This day becomes memorialized as the beginning of the war, although Russia doesn't invade until the early hours of the next day.
02/22/2022
UK imposes sanctions on Russian banks and individuals.
02/22/2022
Germany freezes the Nordstream 2 gas pipeline, Chancellor Scholz says that the government will ensure that the pipeline, which is completed, is never certified.
02/21/2022
Shelling in on border with Donbas region intensifies. Putin says he has made no plans for a summit meeting with Biden and tells a group of ministers assembled that there is no way ahead in discussions about Ukraine.
02/21/2022
Putin officially recognizes Luhansk and Donetsk as independent republics, violating the Minsk II agreement and possibly providing a pretext for invading them or invading Ukraine proper. In a rambling speech to the Russian nation, he declares that Ukraine has always been a part of Russia and suggests that other Eastern European countries should never have been allowed to break away from the Soviet Union.
02/20/2022
Russia and Belarus extend military drills. NATO says that Russia is preparing a “full-scale attack” on Ukraine.
02/20/2022
As relayed by French Pres Macron, US Pres Biden agrees in principle” to a summit with Russia Pres Putin as long as there is no further invasion of Ukraine. US intelligence believes that orders have been transmitted to Russian commanders in the field.
02/19/2022
Donetsk and Luhansk mobilize entire military and call on citizens to take up arms. Russia holds nuclear missile drills. Zelenskyy, at Munich Security Conference, calls on the West to support Ukraine for its own interests as well as international order. He receives a standing ovation, but little concrete response.
02/18/2022
Intense shelling on border of eastern territories with the rest of Ukraine. Russian media reporting that Ukraine is going to invade Donetsk. Russia doing everything short of war to provoke military response from Ukrainian military, without success so far.
02/18/2022
Head of Donetsk People’s Republic says that Russia is ready to accept evacuees from the region, a possible signal that invasion is imminent.
02/17/2022
US President Biden says that he is convinced that Putin has decided to invade Ukraine.
02/17/2022
At UN Security Council meeting, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken details false flag attacks and deceptive provocations Russia could use as a pretext to invade Ukraine. There is heavy shelling on the border between western Ukraine and the Russian-backed provinces of Luhansk and Donetsk. A kindergarden in Luhansk is attacked with a rocket, but that clearly came from pro-Russian forces. Russia expels the US deputy ambassador.
02/16/2022
Cyberattacks on Ukrainian military, defense ministry, and major banks.
02/16/2022
Russia warns that Ukraine will invade Donetsk, a very unlikely possibility, but possibly an attempt to set up an excuse for invading Ukraine or Donetsk, given the resolution passed by the Russian Duma on 2/15. Russian EU ambassador says there will be no invasion of Ukraine in February or March.
02/16/2022
US President Biden warns public that war in Ukraine would be stressful for US citizens.
02/16/2022
US and NATO both say that Russia continues its buildup of troops on the Ukraine border rather than any drawdown.
02/15/2022
German Chancellor Scholz discusses Ukraine with Putin.
02/15/2022
Russia says that some troops are pulling back from the Ukraine to their permanent bases, but drills are continuing. They also say that troops will leave Belarus when those drills are finished. Other reports say that troops are training weapons on Ukraine.
02/15/2022
Russian parliament passes motion for Putin to declare provinces of eastern Ukraine Luhansk and Donetsk independent countries.
02/14/2022
Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov urges Putin to let diplomacy about Ukraine crisis continue and Putin agrees.
02/12/2022
US orders Kyiv embassy personnel to evacuate. UK withdraws all troops from Ukraine.
02/11/2022
While diplomatic missions continue with little progress, Russia is said to be increasing its troop strength on Ukraine borders. US recommends that Americans in Ukraine leave the country (but not diplomatic personnel).
02/08/2022
Russian war games in Belarus begin. They will last ten days, and Putin says the troops will be withdrawn when the games are finished.
02/07/2022
French President Macron discusses Ukraine situation with Russian President Putin. Little change is expected from these talks, but Putin says there is a basis in them for future negotiations. Macron has been vocal about the need for the EU to have its own foreign policy and defensive posture.
02/06/2022
US military says that Russia has 70% of the support it needs for a full invasion of Ukraine.
02/03/2022
US says that Russia may use any strategy to create a false-flag operation that necessitates its invasion of Ukraine.
02/03/2022
Belarus says that a Ukrainian drone entered its airspace and was shot down.
02/03/2022
China announces full support for Russia about NATO expansion.
02/03/2022
Turkish President Erdogan visits Kyiv and offers to mediate situation with Russia.
02/02/2022
Russia shells border checkpoint in Donbass region of Ukraine.
02/02/2022
US deploys 3000 troops to Germany, Poland, and Romania.
02/01/2022
Russian President Putin, speaking for the first time about the Ukraine crisis, says the West has ignored Russia’s security concerns.
02/01/2022
UK, Poland, and Ukraine join in a mutual defense pact.
01/31/2022
UN Security Council to meet to discuss Ukraine situation. There are vituperative exchanges between Russia and western countries, especially the United States. Both sides accuse the other of fomenting war. US Secretary of State Anthony Blink and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to meet again.
01/28/2022
French President Macron and Russian President Putin discuss the situation in Ukraine by phone. US and Russia also continue discussions. Many believe that Putin will not take any military action until after the Olympics in China are over, mid-February. US President Biden to meet with Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani to discuss increasing natural gas shipments to Europe to compensate for possible cutoff of shipments by Russia, a key worry of Europeans about any military response to Russian aggression in Ukraine. US subsequently name Qatar a major non-NATO ally, giving it special military and economic privileges.
01/27/2022
Russia denies that it wants war with Ukraine and asserts that it will not invade nor start a war. Foreign minister Sergei Lavrov says that that are some aspects of the NATO response that could provide further discussion, although not on the main issue, the expansion of NATO.
01/26/2022
NATO responds to Russian demands by saying that there will be no restrictions on NATO’s acceptance of new members, but that NATO has no aggressive designs on Eastern Europe or Russia. It offers points for negotiation on weapons, military exercises, and deployment of troops.
01/25/2022
French President Macron and German PM Scholz discuss unified EU reaction to the Ukraine situation.
01/25/2022
Ukrainian leaders attempt to calm the public, portraying Russian threat as endemic to Ukrainian life. Macron and Scholz announce that they believe the situation can be resolved through diplomacy.
01/23/2022
US and UK have drawn down residents in the Ukraine embassy, as Biden suggests that Russia will invade Ukraine in some way in the coming days. US and others sending matériel to Ukraine. NATO putting troops standby alert.
01/18/2022
US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken arrives in Ukraine for talks. The US has alienated the EU foreign policy arm by excluding them from talks, such that the EU is playing no real role in the crisis. Germany is resisting sanctions involving the SWIFT banking communications system, restrictions on Nord Stream 2, and further arms transfers to Ukraine.
01/17/2022
German ruling coalition split on Nord Stream 2 future. The Greens want to hold off allowing it until Russia backs down on its threat to Ukraine. The SPD, however, wants to leave the pipeline out of the discussion because Germany needs a steady supply of natural gas.
01/14/2022
Russia demands a response from US and NATO about its demands, causing increased concern that it will invade Ukraine.
01/10/2022
US and Russian officials hold talks, including about Ukraine. Since Russia’s demands involve NATO, the Ukranian government has been left out of these discussions and is pursuing its own negotiations with Russia. Talks have little overall effect, and even the goals of Russia are not clear, although reining in any expansion of NATO or any military support to Eastern European countries seems fundamental. Putin is keeping everyone unsure whether he will invade Ukraine or not, which gives him maximum leverage in negotiations.
12/30/2021
In further discussions between Presidents Putin and Biden, Russia continues to insist on guarantees that NATO refrain from any military activity or alliances in Eastern Europe and Ukraine, and that Russia with “eliminate unacceptable threats” if NATO does not respond to these demands. Russia says it will not allow negotiations to last a long time.
12/21/2021
Western nations continuing to bolster support for Ukraine with defensive weaponry and threats of economic sanctions against Russia if it invades Ukraine.
12/17/2021
Russia issues a list of demands to the West about former Soviet Union countries. They are unlikely to be accepted, and it is unclear what Putin hopes to gain from this.
12/10/2021
Continuing tensions over Ukraine as Russia maintains large military force on the border. US President Biden warned Russian President Putin that any military action would engender severe economic sanctions. Putin demands veto on Ukraine joining NATO as well as other demands.
11/15/2021
NATO warns Russia against aggression in Ukraine as Russian troops build up on the border.
10/18/2021
Russia suspends its NATO office in retaliation for the expulsion of Russians accused of spying.
04/06/2021
Ukraine asks NATO to provide a pathway to membership, which is difficult for NATO. Russia has moved more troops to the border with Ukraine, although most observers do not think an invasion is likely.
04/06/2021
Ukraine asks NATO to provide a pathway to membership, which is difficult for NATO. Russia has moved more troops to the border with Ukraine, although most observers do not think an invasion is likely.
02/18/2021
NATO announces that it will increase its troops in Iraq due to increased Islamic State activity there.
03/27/2020
North Macedonia becomes a member of NATO.
12/04/2019
Erdogan drops his demand that NATO name the YPG terrorists.
12/03/2019
Turkey threatens to block NATO plan for the protection of Baltic countries unless NATO designates Kurdish People’s Protection Units (YPG) as terrorists.
12/02/2019
On eve of NATO meeting, Pres Macron criticizes the alliance as “brain dead” for its response to Turkey’s operation in Syria.
03/01/2019
NATO increasing its naval presence in the Black Sea to counter Russian build-up there.
02/06/2019
NATO members formally sign agreement to allow the Republic of North Macedonia (as it is now called) to join.